Earlier, I reported that I'd trimmed my Procter & Gamble (
PG) position because it looks unlikely that PG will produce total returns in excess of 5%, whereas I'm looking for annualized returns of at least 8% from my DivGro holdings.
I identified another stock, Chubb (
CB), with lower than expected growth prospects — at least when considering its unfavorable
Chowder Number [CDN] of 5.
CB's dividend yield of 1.82% at $164.56 per share is on the low side and about 15% below its 5-year average dividend yield of 2.14%. Furthermore, CB's 5-year dividend growth rate [DGR] is quite low at 3%. To achieve annualized returns of 8%, a stock yielding less than 3% should have a CDN of at least 15, according to the
Chowder Rule. For low-yielding stocks such as CB, CDN's less than 10 are
unfavorable, meaning such stocks are unlikely to deliver annualized returns of 8% or more.
I decided to trim my CB position and to invest the proceeds in a higher DGR stock. This article details my CB trade.